technifyed

Artificial Intelligence + Earth Science

Forecast daily temperature with time-series methods

Forecast tomorrow's temperature from past data and beat the "same as today" baseline.

  • DifficultyAdvanced
  • Estimated time1–2 weeks
  • Budget₹0
  • ClassCollege
  • TeamSolo or up to 2
  • You needComputer only

Prerequisites: None beyond your class work

Original · by TechnifyedAI/ML ProjectData AnalysisFree to doComputer onlyResearch orientedPortfolio focusedTwo subjects

My projects

Overview

Forecast tomorrow's temperature from past data and beat the "same as today" baseline.

Skills you will use

BaselinesHonest comparisonRolling evaluation

Materials and tools

  • Computer with Python 3
  • Several years of daily temperature data for one city

Tools and software

MatplotlibpandasPython

Expected cost₹0Nothing to buy
Estimated duration1–2 weeks5 build steps, plus the report

Step-by-step roadmap

  1. Start

    You will finish with: a comparison showing which method beats the baselines and by how much.

  2. 1

    Prerequisites

    Nothing special to know first. Then collect the 2 items in the materials list.

  3. 2

    Learn

    Read up on forecasting: forecasting, public-data, time series. Your textbook chapter and one short video are enough.

  4. 3

    Plan

    List the features for version one, sketch the screens or data flow and pick the tools. Keep the first version small.

  5. 4

    Build

    1. Plot the series and describe its seasonality.
    2. Build two baselines: same as yesterday, and same day last year.
    3. Fit a moving average and a simple autoregressive model.
    4. Evaluate each with a rolling forecast over the last year.
    5. Compare the errors in a table.
  6. 5

    Test

    Try it with wrong, empty and unusual input, and ask someone else to use it without your help.

  7. 6

    Document

    Write a README: what it does, how to run it, screenshots and what you learned. Report structure

  8. 7

    Present

    Show a live demo of one complete task, then the design and the hardest problem you solved. Presentation structure

  9. 8

    Publish

    Put the code on GitHub with the README and, if you can, deploy a live demo.

Expected outcome

A comparison showing which method beats the baselines and by how much.

Other versions of this project

Advanced version

Add humidity and pressure as inputs and test whether they help.

Ways to do this project

Text marked "You write this" is a prompt for your own work; everything else is specific to this project.

Research question
You write thisOne question you can answer with data, narrow enough to finish in the time you have.
Hypothesis
You write thisWhat you expect to find, and why.
Variables
You write thisWhat you change or compare, what you measure, and what you hold constant.
Methodology
You write thisDescribe the method in enough detail that someone else could repeat it: sample, tools, procedure.
Data collection
You write thisSay what you will record, how many times, and how you will keep the records safe.
Analysis
You write thisChoose the table, chart or test that answers the question; report averages with their spread.
Limitations
You write thisList what could have affected the result: small sample, instrument limits, things you could not control.

Literature review

Find five to eight sources (your textbook, review articles, reports) and note what each says about your question. Group them by idea, not one after another, and end with what is still not known.

References

List every source you used in one style throughout (author, year, title, where it was published, link and the date you opened it).

Working as a team

Solo or up to 2. Suggested roles:

FrontendBackendData or modelDesignTestingDocumentationPresentation

Report and presentation

Report structure

  1. Title and summary
  2. Problem and target user
  3. Features
  4. Tools and technology
  5. Design: architecture, data model or screens
  6. Implementation
  7. Testing
  8. Results and screenshots
  9. Challenges
  10. Future improvements
  11. References

Presentation structure

  1. The problem
  2. Who it is for
  3. Live demo
  4. How it is built (one diagram)
  5. The hardest part
  6. Testing and results
  7. What you learned
  8. What comes next

Viva questions

Prepare your own answers to these before you present.

  • What is the aim of your project, in one sentence?
  • What is the principle behind it?
  • Why did you choose these materials or tools?
  • What result did you get, and was it what you expected?
  • What went wrong and how did you fix it?
  • How could this be improved or used in real life?

Resources

Source and attribution

Original

Written by Technifyed. Free to use for your own school or college project; write the report in your own words. Added 1 Oct 2026.

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